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can we escape our Darwinian shackles?

Every mathematical analysis, every work of physics, and natural sciences ever written is a product of a human mind that, the best we know, has been built by a process of random mutations accumulating according to the driving force of survival, and strictly survival, no gratuitous allowances for understanding how the world is built.  We only sense, and think of matters that pose a survival impact.  We are blind, deaf, and ignorant of anything that lurches in the universe but poses no survival impact.  So any expectation for a ‘theory of everything’ is vanity, hubris, and laughable.  We first have to find a way to escape the Darwinian shackles, and only then can we aspire to understand what there is.  This, therefore, is a call to redirect and redefine the frontier of science and comprehension — breaking out of the narrow path that created our human brain.  Can we do it — let’s not rush to a conclusion.  Should we do it — there is nothing more profound for us to do.

Reality: Patterns Are Illusions Generated By History Skewed Observers

Data mining programs find patterns in purely random data, and what’s more:  different programs find different patterns!  The pattern-search algorithm determines what pattern is observed in a purely pattern-less body of data.  Taken in reverse:  every given pattern may be associated with a particularly programmed pattern-deducing algorithm operating over a purely random body of data.  Pattern, then, (beauty included) is in the eye of the beholder.  Applied to science in general, we may envision a pattern-less, chaotic, random reality that is seen as pattern-laced, orderly and predictable by its human observers who apply to reality their evolutionary developed particular observation and deduction algorithm.  No physicist has ever managed to by-pass his or her psychology.  Human psychology is a product of Darwinian evolution, incidental, particular, skewed.  As a species we share blindness and partiality towards the objective reality which is (per this conjecture) inherently pattern-less.  Quantum mechanics admitting a probability based microcosm is scratching that objective reality.

This conjecture points to a fundamentally new strategy for natural sciences:  to unlearn, unrestrict, de-evolutionize our mind to escape the narrowness of vision imposed on us by our common history as a species, and as living entities, and earlier — traced to the incidental way that amino acids were constructed.
 

We may approach this premise from entropy consideration.  A point was selected on a line. If all that we care about is that the selection identified a point on that line then our Shannon Entropy is zero.  If we care to know whether the point resides in the upper or lower half of the line then our  entropy is one. If we divide the line to n equal size intervals and care to know which interval houses the selected point then our entropy is log(n), and if we care to know exactly where the point is then our entropy is infinite – the definition of pattern-less chaos.  It appears  then that the more we care to know reality, the more we face the reality of chaos.

It’s hard to agree that the pillars of science: gravity, electromagnetism, relativity, quantum mechanics, are all illusionary patterns and “laws” that appear as real because they are fully consistent with our skewed mechanism of observation and deduction.  Alas, it is much more tenable to state that we could conceivably construct a mathematical model for a global data-mining algorithm such that a perfectly random world will be seen as having the patterns and the laws identified by our body of science.  In other words, we could  boldly aspire to model our skewness.  That model will help us de-program ourselves from the particular path that produced us and imposed on us its increasingly narrow outlook on reality.

Why increasingly narrow?  We as a species appear to be subject to knowledge acquisition momentum.  That is, if incidentally we happen to acquire a piece of knowledge, that acquisition will make certain new knowledge more likely to be acquired than other equally valid elements of new knowledge.  And the more knowledge we acquire (consciously or subconsciously — as a product of Darwinian evolution), the greater the knowledge acquisition momentum that carries us along, and the more blind we are to equally valid knowledge that lays on the sideway, off the trajectory of our knowledge acquisition momentum.  So as science moves ahead, we indeed celebrate every additional finding, but in fact our vista of reality is getting narrower and narrower.  It has been established that Darwinian evolution is not generous:  every attribute we posses has evolved in the race for survival.  “Nice to have” capabilities with no survival impact were not on the menu.  Say then that any part of reality that had no bearing on our survival (throughout the evolutionary ladder) was not matched with any sensors to read it, nor with data-massaging logic to process it.  It appears silly to assume that reality is comprised only of parts that were at some points important for our survival.  It also appears that compressing vast amount of data into ‘laws’ and patterns is an efficient way to exploit and use the conclusion potential in that data.  Say then that our celebrated ‘laws of nature’ are our tools for survival, not the divine blue print for setting up reality.

Negating our long established knowledge-acquisition trajectory, Unlearning, rolling back, may be impossible to do, but it appears as the thing to do regardless.

Since quantum mechanics is the most peculiar fundamental science, we may start there, and start small:  can we build a pattern-seeking algorithm that when it operates on a pattern-less data will deduce a pattern or “law” affirmed by QM?  If we can, then the question will be what is the likelihood that reality is pattern less, random and chaotic and that our inescapable evolutionary make-up is skewing it for us to observe in it patterns that reflect on us within, not without.

Caveats:  (i)I am an engineering professor, not a physicist.  My research area is intractability metrics, the universal theory of innovation, and the knowledge-realization process.  I have good background to talk about false patterns observed in random data, and about knowledge-acquisition momentum, but less so with respect to advanced physics, Darwinian evolution, and human cognition and psychology.  And therefore I simply put this thought “on the table” to elicit the response of complementary experts; any “etching on stones” is premature at this time.  (ii) Not being a regular resident in the community of scientists wrestling with the nature of reality as such, I may be re-inventing the wheel, or raise a point that was raised and debunked long ago.  If so – sorry for taking your time.

 

 

 

Very Cold Oxidation Of Crude Oil Skips Distillation, Traps CO2. Game Changer?

Very cold oxidation of crude oil skips distillation, traps CO2.  Game changer?We rarely get something so exciting to do (www.dgsgo.com), as to appraise a bold new innovation to shake the left over crude out of every calorie and BTU it has to offer.  Lot’s of hurdles though, who knows?  It’s hard to use energy generated in cold temperatures, hard to light a ‘cold fire’ Alas, might pave the road for similar use of coal, or even green biomass.  Now that money is tighter, more esoteric inventors turn to firms like ours to provide an objective credible estimate of cost-to-complete, and time-to-finish.

Trisymmetry — three way symmetrical enhancement among cybersecurity, innovation, and education

 

When cybersecurity, innovation, and education are abstracted to the core of their activity — they fuse into a trisymmetric configuration:  each of the three is a knowledge realization process, with education being configured as knowledge realization helped by the source of the knowledge, cybersecurity is configured as knowledge realization where the source of knowledge tries to obstruct the knowledge acquisition by the hackers, and innovation where nature is indifferent and neutral about being unveiled.  The recognition of this symmetry leads to three way enhancement of the three disciplines. http://trisymmetry.com 

The Gideon Principle of Intractability Handling (doing what is difficult)

 Your handling of difficult tasks is suboptimal in proportion to your misappraisal of the handling effort.
 

Works both ways: If you think that a difficult challenge is easy — you are going to keep trying to resolve it with insufficient resources — failing time and again.  If you think that an easy task is difficult — you are going to spend too much effort, overdo it, and suffer from unintended ill consequences.

So this principle extends itself to say:

In face of difficulty — first appraise how difficult.  Don’t rush to attack a daunting challenge before you secure a credible estimate of what it takes to handle it right.
 
 

 

Gideon Samid No-Cash Transactions Emergency Anti-Terrorism Act Invokes Controversy

On February 1st Gideon’s column in Digital Transactions Magazine has hit the newsstands, and the reaction was swift and furious, especially from privacy advocates.  In his column Gideon Samid points out the need to involve the payment industry in the present design of an extreme act to be ready to face the dark scenario of rampant domestic terrorism like it happened in Israel in the second intifada when buses and restaurants blew up daily.  Essentially the act forbids any cash transactions above an adaptable preset value.  The massive transactional data flow will be analyzed by powerful data mining algorithms for the purpose of spotting the movement and activity of terrorism cells.  Most detractors of the concept fear that once enacted government will never let go of it, and that terrorism will be unaffected while privacy will be decimated.

Gideon replies that he is a passionate advocate of the sanctity of individual privacy, but that it ranks behind safety and the sanctity of life, and when terrorists move about in our free society hitting us at will, a lot should be done, that otherwise would have never been proposed.  What is important, as Gideon puts it, is to design this onerous step very carefully, and in particular to involved the leading members of the digital payment industry. “I am terrified of the specter of no-cash transaction, as the law of the land.  But when terrorist hits once too often there will remain no liberal that would not sign off on a little loss of privacy — given that most of it is already mutilated by post-911 acts of Congress.

Climategate: Science Itself Is In Question

The scientists implicated by the hacked emails in the University of East Anglia may be regarded as sorry fraudsters, an aberration of what science is all about.  What is fundamentally worrisome is the reaction of the large community of ‘believers’ in the theory the fraudulent scientists tried to falsely promote.  These believers have abdicated their solemn responsibility as scientists, and instead acted like lawyers in a court room, defending their side of the story, mindless of the truth.  I would have expected the community of believers in manmade climate change to ’stop the press’, call for a thorough re-evaluation of all the raw data that was used to arrive at the celebrated conclusion of man induced global warming.  Those believers should have been most disturbed and most shocked by the exposed emails, and as true blue scientists, clear their mind from past conclusions, building their case afresh from re-examined raw data.  And changing their conclusion if the data so suggests. Alas, the believers ridiculed, pooh-poohed, dismissed, belittled, those damning emails, treated them as a joke, as not showing the ‘big picture’, as ‘out of context’, as ‘10 years old’, and claimed that the ‘infidels’ who deny the premise of manmade warming do not really understand how science works, how scientists write.  In other words, all the ‘infidels’ are utterly stupid.  This is reminiscent of the darkest ages when religious belief stamped out scientific truth.  I would like to believe that we are not back in those days, but the recent data suggests otherwise.

Start-Up Nation: What’s Wrong With This Picture?

The cream de la cream of Israel’s technological talent is gravitated towards a couple of thousand start-up firms, funded by eager venture capitalists, and moved by a few dozen super-success stories.  The income fuels the economy, and regenerates itself;  quite a positive picture, but not without a shadow.  Venture capital is ‘exit’ driven, funds go to concepts that can be realized within 24 months or less, which in turn drives the entrepreneurs to quick impact internet gimmicks, and ritzy consumer gadgetry, a track that established a few young multi millionaires in Israel.  Alas, the survival of Israel depends on long range, heavy duty, deep research technological programs that are left with second tier personnel.  In the early years the talent of young Israelis went to build the renowned aviation industry, the world class military industry, phrama, nuclear, agriculture, and innovative production facilities.  These programs established the country as a powerhouse to reckon with, and kept it safe within its borders.  Israel needs today’s challenges to be equally committed to, and a few thousand internet-centered startups are not the answer.  A growing number of political scientists claim that peace would come to the Middle East as soon as oil loses its centrality in world affairs.  This will happen when a robust oil-replacement becomes a reality.  There you have it, an example of a national R&D program that will earn Israel its much deserved security.  A lot can be done with start-ups, nimble, and quick as they are, but Israel needs a serious organizational framework staffed with its best and brightest to continue its parade of technological miracles, and keep it safe and thriving.  If getting rich quick is the prevailing sentiment, then a danger is looming.  Patriotism should increase its weight in the motivational spectra.  And nothing would happen without a vigorous and visionary technological leadership aware that its success is the guarantee for the future of Israel.

Innovation Plateau — Are We In One?

If you believe inventors, vendors, academics and politicians, we are under a flood of innovation like never before in human history.  But how can one tell?  We also have the best marketing and promotion machine in human history.  That means we can blow up a tiny new idea into an earth-shaking, life-changing innovation — as far as the press and public opinion is concerned.  Hype is upon us.  When one discounts it — do we still have unprecedented innovation, or are we on a plateau?

Human history suggests that creative periods follow by periods of digestion and accommodation of the big changes of yesterday.  After the invention of the printing press, every improvement thereto was hailed as ground breaking; almost every essential automotive system today was present on the Model-T; quantum mechanics got weirder over the last ninety years, and the integrated circuit got more integrated in a predictable pace (Moore’s law).

D&G Sciences — Innovation Productivity Corporation, known for its development of an innovation progress metrics, is now developing an innovation impact metrics to establish a scientific measure of innovation activity.

Software Generated Hardware: The Last Hurdle Before Computers Evolve Autonomously.

Software generated by software is not new anymore, but the underlying man-made hardware was hitherto the limit of the self evolving computing assembly.  This limitation may be removed, and not in the very distant future (DGS got the contract to appraise it).  The idea is to use well crafted polymer chemistry to construct an evolving computing platform.  Given sufficient supply of carbon, hydrogen, and oxygen, plus small measures of additional common elements, the core computing unit will be able to direct the further synthesis of computing hardware, on which to run the software generated software.  Such an autonomous computing environment will be without an on/off switch, it will be able to metastasize and thereby escape human control, leading to untold consequences.  Yet, this disturbing uncertainty is not likely to quench the emerging research.

Space Asteroids and D&G Sciences Methodologies

At any moment now, our telescopes might discover an ominous Space Asteroid on collision course with earth, giving us a tight measure of years, perhaps just months, before impact.  There are today various technology ideas on the books for how to avert such a catastrophic event like the one that doomed the dinosaurs some 65 million years ago, or like the 1908 Tunguska Explosion should it occur over a populated urban area.  Alas, today no serious money is spent developing any of the proposed counter measures.  It’s very expensive, and we may just get lucky…  But if not, it would a life and death race against the fast approaching impact event.  The various competing solutions will have to be appraised not only by how effective they are in principle, but by our chances to succeed and develop an effective countermeasure.  There will be no extension, no rescheduling.  We better be ready in time, or else…  For this reason alone, D&G Sciences — Innovation Productivity Corporation tools for innovation appraisal should be developed to their full promise.

 

Avivah Litan Recommends Gideon Samid’s ‘Unending CyberWar’ as a ‘Must Read’ for Many Years to Come

 Avivah Litan, Vice President and Distinguished Analyst, Gartner Research:    Gideon Samid’s latest book on CyberSecurity in a ‘must read’ for both seasoned security professionals and novices caught in the ‘unending CyberWar.’ The author employs an innovative approach to his book, combining the hardcopy text with a companion cyber version that enables dynamic updates and non-linear traversal of the material as it continues to evolve.  Combined with an interactive forum for public contributions, this book is sure to live on as an all inclusive tutorial and framework that will provide high value to security professionals for many years to come.

The book offers a pragmatic tutorial that gives an in-depth analysis of threat identification and responses. It also provides a valuable framework for developing and implementing effective response systems to particular threats, and covers technological and human aspects critical to success in defeating cyberthieves. Insightful discussions unearth the mysteries of complex technological concepts, such as cryptanalysis and multi-layer cryptography, for both the layman and the security expert.  Exploration of hacker motivations and modus operandi further expand the security professional’s ability to effectively fight the cybercriminals off.  The book is rounded off by intriguing essays on cybercrime and more indepth coverage of relevant foundational technologies, security tools and products. All in all a comprehensive, engaging, readable, informative and dynamic piece of work that will give the ‘good guys’ the weapons and armor they need to win this war.
 

Avivah Litan is a Vice President and Distinguished Analyst in Gartner Research.  Her area of expertise includes financial fraud, authentication, identity theft, fraud detection and prevention applications and other areas of information security and risk.  She also covers payment systems and financial flows in the business-to- consumer and business-to-business markets


About

Dr. Gideon Samid is the author of The Innovation Turing Machine; pioneered the discipline of Innovation Appraisal: Maximizing Innovation Productivity; heading the Innovation Appraisal Group at Case Western Reserve University.